Wednesday, July 1, 2020

Why I Do Not Worship Random Chance As A Creator God - It's Just TOO Improbable - Hate Mail

I will revise and correct a paragraph from the post you didn't like to make you like it even less.

But that would get us back to just how improbable random chance assembling even the first organism so as it came to life, a persisting, containing membrane structure just happening to contain the right chemicals and structures [each of those structures certainly requiring an equally improbable random-chance assemblage, as well] so as to begin metabolism and maintenance of the organism before we get to the more incredible unlikelihood of random chance allowing its reproduction on the first and only try it would get to do that successfully, ending up with at least two of itself - if it reproduced to three, that first time or more, the chances against that happening rise incredibly fast.

If its unlikelihood happening once is measured as one times ten to some very large exponent of times. if the first act or reproduction resulted in more than one organism as a result, I would guess the first term in that equation would go up by the numbers of reproductions which would, of course, increase the resultant improbability on a very, very steep curve.  

And that doesn't bring up the improbabilities involved with such things as the original organism internally reproducing things like those complex molecules and structures in the numbers allowing it to split into two or more viable organisms.  

The internal mechanisms for allowing that internal reproduction of components - and to what random-chance, undetermined end? - is among the most improbable of the many improbabilities of the first organism arising by mere random chance.  So far we've only imagined the organism reproducing beneficial internal structures and molecules, organisms, as well, generate those that endanger its continued life, but that's only an observation to show that there are random chances against it working, as well. 

And, since we are supposed to detest teleology in biology as well as physics, why would it do that?  Why would it split in a totally unprecedented way (there would be no such thing as precedent for that first organism)?  What are the chances of those thing happening by random chance?   If you imagine the scenario I described here - and I don't see how even the most daffy of abiogenetic ideologues could not believe that had to have happened -  how could you maintain that all of the events preceding AND ALLOWING FOR SUCCESSFUL reproduction would have just happened without that result being anticipated?  

No, it's totally implausible that that happened by mere random chance.  God making it happen any number of times is far more plausible, the chance of it happening if God chose it to happen is one in one, not some integer times ten to an incredibly huge and ever underestimated exponent of times. 

Atheists are always playing the plausibility game based on the chance of something happening.  Well, you want to play that game, game on.  I'm more than willing to look at their claims for just how much they are claiming happened by chance. 

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