It's as predictable as anything that any criticism of the liar, fraud, con-artist, sleaze, James Randi will provoke one of his true believers to say, "No one has ever won the million dollar challenge." Well, for people who aren't long time readers of this blog, I dealt with that stupid claim before, as well.
See Updates Below
James "The Amazing" Randi's original claim to fame was that he was a magician and an escape artist. His entire professional competence is in deceiving people into thinking they know what is happening while he is doing something else. His history has shown that his habits of deception aren't limited to his stage tricks and escape events. He also has a long and documented history of lying. His fans, allies and associates have a long and documented history of their own, they habitually overlook, excuse and even cover up his lying on behalf of their shared ideological campaign.
As pointed out yesterday, even one of his allies in "Skepticism"/atheism, Dennis Rawlins, has quoted him as bragging that his famous "Challenge" is rigged to always allow him an out. Rawlins is one of the rarest of "Skeptics", one who has told the truth about some of "Skepticism". I will state at the start that Randi's "Application" form is full of such outs. At each and every stage James Randi and his "Educational" Foundation are in full control of every phase of the "Test" and they can end it at any time from refusing to consider an application right up to the danger of having to finally prove they've got the money. And they reserve the "right" to change the rules in the middle of the game as well as a host of other means of them assuring no one could ever possibly force Randi to prove he's got the money to back up his phony challenge. Anyone who looks at it is completely justified in suspecting deception and should be on the lookout for avenues of escape for "The Amazing" one.
Any honest analysis of James Randi's "Million Dollar" Challenge has to begin with considering its value to James Randi and the present use of the "Challenge" by the "Skepticism" industry. The entire value of the famous "Randi Million Dollar Challenge", for them, is in being able to claim that no one has succeeded in winning it. Which is how it is used by Randi and his ideological allies. Just being able to say no one has won the money is the entire point of the thing for "Skepticism". Despite that obvious fact, the application claims otherwise. "The goal of this Challenge is a successful demonstration according to the agreed protocol." And if you believe that I've got a bridge I can make disappear or, failing that, to sell you. There is no honest possibility of anyone doubting a "successful demonstration" would obliterate two of the "Skepticism" industries' most valued assets, Randi's constructed persona and his phony challenge. A successful "Challenge" and a requirement to pay out would, in fact destroy the popular credibility of organized "Skepticism". A win would be a far bigger disaster for "Skepticism" than the sTARBABY scandal. That is a fact Randi's application form would seem to anticipate if through some catastrophe that someone won, Randi's got it covered, "If the Prize is awarded, this would not mean that the JREF acknowledges the existence of the supernatural."
The unstated implication of that statement that "nobody has won Randi's million dollar Challenge" , is that people tried to win and failed, but that is far from clear. Keep in mind that the "Skeptical" goal doesn't require an attempt, it can be fulfilled by keeping people from being given a real "test". In fact the "APPLICATION FOR STATUS OF CLAIMANT**" from the James Randi "Educational" Foundation states that no one has made it past the "Preliminary Test" stage and so no actual "Formal Test" has been begun.
4. In all cases, the Applicant will be required to perform a Preliminary Test in a location where a properly authorized representative of the JREF can attend. This Preliminary Test is intended to determine if the Applicant is likely to perform as promised during the Formal Test, using the agreed-upon protocol. To date, no applicant has passed the Preliminary Test, and therefore no Formal Test has yet been conducted. At any time prior to the Formal Test, the JREF reserves the right to re-negotiate the protocol if issues are discovered that would prevent a fair and unbiased test. After an agreement is reached on the protocol, no part of the testing procedure may be changed in any way without an amended agreement, signed by all parties concerned
Any challenge that might risk being demonstrable can be kept out of consideration by having the application rejected. That, as all aspects of the "Challenge" rest firmly in the entirely interested hands of James Randi and his "Educational" Foundation.
Another definitive "out" of the kind Randi boasted of having is the possibility that Randi's people can re-negotiate the agreed to protocol "At any time prior to the Formal Test" That would effectively prevent any claims that put Randi in danger from being "Formally" tested. Any "Preliminary Test" that looked like it could destroy Randi's brand could be short-circuited by these kinds of outs.
In order for Randi's and "Skeptics" claims of the Challenge to be honest a comprehensive list of people who have made it to the "Preliminary Test" stage would have to be issued and Randi and his "Educational" Foundation must allow anyone involved to be able to give a full and free account of what happened in both the "Test" and in the negotiations over them. The rules under #8 would also need to be changed for the "Challenge" to be honest and transparent.
8. By accepting this Challenge, the Applicant waives any and all claims against James Randi, the JREF, the JREF’s employees, officers, directors, and any other person. This waiver includes, but is not limited to,injury, accident, and damage of any kind, including damage and/or loss of a physical, emotional,financial, and/or professional nature.
Notwithstanding anything else in this paragraph, should the Claimant pass the Formal Test, the Claimant does not waive any claims against the JREF that might be necessary to enforce payment of the prize.
There is absolutely nothing transparent about Randi's requirements, they are designed to prevent people from seeing an honest, transparent test of claims. Rule 8 gives Randi and his "Educational" Foundation the right to lie, misrepresent, distort and slander while without risking being sued, apparently, any challenger or even an impartial observer is not exempted from legal action. The only right they don't surrender is one that will never happen, Randi having to pay up when they've won. I can't imagine any reasonably intelligent person, never mind a serious scientist, agreeing to that. It is a complete violation of ethics to allow someone that contractual right. It entirely destroys any claims to credibility that Randi's Challenge has claimed for it.
For a challenge that is parroted by "Skeptics" and sold as the gold standard of reliable assessment the requirements of the participation of impartial observers and judges seems to be strangely missing. At each and every phase all of that is done by Randi's people, none of whom can possibly be considered as impartial, all of whom have an interest in maintaining the real value of Randi's "Challenge" for his brand name and the "Skepticism" industry.
In these post I'm not interested in anything except the effect of Randi's PR campaign on rigorously conducted, controlled and analyzed science, which has quite different goals, methods and requirements than his publicity stunt. The rules are written to violate the requirements of science in many ways and to prevent real, serious experiments that have produced positive results from being considered.
The real science that the peer-reviewed literature dealing with parapsychology has produced would seem to be as excluded from entering into Randi's "Challenge" as the publicity stunt cannot be rationally considered to be scientific. This makes the use of Randi's phony challenge to debunk peer-reviewed science entirely dishonest.
Any skeptical review of Randi's "Challenge" would have to conclude that it is set up to prevent anyone being "tested" or any serious evidence entering into consideration. The Challenge, as presented by Randi is a fraud. As I said before, it was a challenge which was never intended to be met because any successful demonstration requiring Randi to pay up would destroy his reputation and the reputation of the "Skepticism" industry that has attached itself to his PR operation. The "Challenge" itself is a distraction from any serious, scientific research into parapsychological phenomena. It depends on people looking at Randi's gawdy geek show, which, to say the most, is easy to watch. You can't say the same thing about reading a scientific paper, dealing with the methodological and mathematical substance of it. That's hard, far too hard for the rank and file, the "Skeptics", Randi's fan base. I may deal with some of the scientists who are in on the Randi con later. The reason that their ideology requires lying is obvious to anyone who has looked at the actual science. As soon as someone honestly looks at the real, published science done demonstrating telepathy or other taboo phenomena, as soon as you understand the data, ideological "Skepticism" falls apart.
UPDATE: Just about every time I look at Randi's "APPLICATION FOR STATUS OF CLAIMANT" new outs and avenues of deception become obvious. There is this:
The JREF may consult with experts, including statisticians, magicians,and others with specialized knowledge relevant to the claim. James Randi may or may not be present at these tests, but he will not interact with the materials used nor interfere with the protocol once a test is underway.
Notice that it is only Randi who "will not interact with the materials used nor interfere with the protocol once a test is underway". Since some of Randi's most infamous scams and deceptions relied on hired fronts to act for him, some of whom were also professional magicians, anyone who knew about that should consider this a contract to get scammed by them. Professional magicians with a financial or other interest are no more reliably honest than anyone else. I've always been puzzled as to why a magician with a known bias would be considered reliable when they're known to have the skills to sabotage experiments. Considering how even test subjects with no known skills of that kind are routinely accused of that style of deception, it's ridiculous to not suspect professional magicians with a known bias of doing what they have made a profession of doing.
The "Application" is a contract so full of avenues for cheating by Randi and his "Educational" Foundation that I can't imagine anyone familiar with him would even apply.
UPDATE 2.0 An e-mail (why don't you people ever use my comment system?) informs me that there is what is supposed to be a previous version of the "Application for Status of Claimant" archived on Wayback. It begins " This became effective on Sunday, April 1st, 2007, replacing the previous version of the Application; the nature of the One Million Dollar Paranormal Challenge in regard to those to who may now apply, has now changed substantially." Which would indicate that the numbering of the current challenge is suspicious as noted in the first footnote below. I don't see any version number on this "Application" but it's clearly not the first one. This is important because previous critics of the phony "challenge" would have been addressing previous requirements either on the "Application" or insisted on by Randi and his company. In a quick read of it the 2007 rules are, indeed, deceptive and open to some of the same avenues of fraudulence I noted, possibly others I haven't noticed yet. I would say that, if anything, the "Application" up at the JR"E"F this week looks less transparent and above board than this previous version. This is funny because of the damage control campaign launched by D.J. Grothe, Randi's heir apparent at the JR"E"F claiming that they wanted to make the "Million Dollar Challenge" more transparent.
Related to that is the database of "applicants" up at the JR"E"F. As I noted above, the value of the "Challenge" to Randi, his employees, acolytes and "Skepticism" in general is to be able to claim that no one has won the challenge and that purpose is served by preventing any "Formal Test" from happening. That purpose is served by 1. preventing serious scientists from subjecting their research to an unscientific "test", 2. rejecting applications that could seriously challenge the value of the "Challenge" for all of the above, 3. scotching the agreed to procedures during the "Preliminary Test" phase by insisting on "re-negotiation" as in the "Application" rule #4 above ..... It is necessary for the JR"E"F to list those who have made it to the "Preliminary Test" phase and to allow a full and open account of all of those on both sides.
Grothe doesn't seem to be interested in a transparent test any more than the old fraud he works for does. The "Challenge" is a fraud and a con set up to never really produce a test. Its habitual use by the "Skeptics" against scientific research is one of the more serious instances of common intellectual dishonesty among the self-appointed "rational class". The Randi Challenge couldn't test real science of the kind that the scientific study of parapsychology has produced, it is a geek show and as much of a lie and a con job as the sTARBABY cover-up was. "Skepticism" is a profit making industry based on lies and fraud.
UPDATE 3.0 I suspect that the 2007 version of the "Application for Status of Claimant" , might have been made in reaction to a series about the fraudulence of the "Million Dollar Challenge" by Michael Prescott in 2006. I don't have the version of it that he addressed but, as I said, the present day "Application" is even more dodgy than the 2007 one. Prescott's series is worth reading for its continuing relevance to the fraud that the Randi operation is. Greg Taylor at The Daily Grail has also written extensively and well about the "Challenge", addressing it during that period, and Steve Volk has in the most recent period.
I don't know what to make of it, but Riley G. Matthews jr posted an exchange he says he had with Randi over a challenge that Randi invited before he scotched it, making and failing to make good on an offer of $3,000 for Matthews to drop it. I have no way of knowing its authenticity but, then, I have no way of checking what the James Randi "Educational" Foundation claims about its role in the "Challenge" either. I can say that as of the present, I don't have any reason to suspect Matthews isn't more honest than I do know Randi to not be.
* The first paragraph of the document says, "This Application is Version 2.0, dated March 9, 2011, supersedes and replaces any previous version of the Application, and is the only version currently accepted." I have, so far, been unable to find out how many previous versions of the "application" there may have been or how those have been worded. 2.0 might be taken to indicate this is the second of any such "application" but, as with the numbering of versions of computer software, the decimal makes that assumption unwarranted. I'd like to know how any previous versions of the challenge were numbered and would like to have the exact wording of those. I've seen two different figures for previously offered "prizes" so I'm assuming there were at least two previous versions of the rules. In order to know why any theoretical applicant might have not applied or to have not fulfilled the test, it is necessary to know what Randi and his posse were demanding of them.
Whereas:
ReplyDelete1.) James Randi has been called America's most trusted skeptic.
2.) AND, James Randi set out to disprove Yuri Geller in an age of "psychic warfare" between the USSR and the USA
3.) AND, James Randi has written a book called "The Mask of Nostradamus". It is a book that seeks to prove that Nostradamus was a hoax, and that his followers are buffoons. He takes no pains to examine more probable scenarios which also take historical context into account.
4.) AND, Yuri Geller has recently come forward to say that he was actually working for the CIA and other Western intelligence agencies.
5.) AND, this authentic paper was written arguing why Nostradamus was a Spy for Ivan the Terrible. Nobody has yet stepped forward to disprove the thesis in any way (though I welcome you to, and encourage you to): https://www.reddit.com/r/conspiracy/comments/43dv8s/nostradamus_tsar_domanus_my_early_working_theory/
Therefore it seems kinda probable:
1.) THAT James Randi was not working for the US intelligence agencies, because he was not cooperating with the the coordinated campaign to suggest that Yuri Geller (and possibly other CIA and western 'psychic' plants) did in fact have psychic powers. (As compartmentalized as the US may be -- or have been --, one can imagine the CIA would kindly have asked Mr. Randi or his handlers to stop discrediting Mr. Geller had he in fact been working for a different agency -- say the FBI.)
2.) AND THAT James Randi wrote the book on discrediting Nostradamus at the request of, or with the help of, some sort of 'higher power' which sought to discredit any further examination of, or association with Nostradamus and his prophecy. Calling the followers crazies etc creates a social stigma which keeps "rational people" away from the subject. Because for 450 years, Nostradamus' spy history has never been exposed, a book written by "America's Most Trusted" skeptic would certainly put the issue of further research to bed; while leaving the subject of Nostradamus still a 'credible platform' for influencing "useless idiots", by some party who may benefit from his identity as a spy being secret. "Nothing to see here folks"
It seems unlikely that one man -- with surely such an analytical and "pro American" mind would so accidentally set out to conspire to be not just the man who would benefit the Russians indirectly by exposing Yuri Geller, but also in keeping the truth of Nostradamus a secret?
So what was James Randi's spy job? A further hypothesis might be that Randi's position as a skeptic gave him good "cover" to initiate such 'anti conspiracy' roles as that mentioned above -- as well as ingratiate himself within scientific circles where he could either gather information or recruit more spies to his cause.
You know, just like how NOSTRADAMUS anagrams out to TSAR DOMANUS, TSAR MOUNDAS, and SATAN MORDUS -- Randi's boyfriend with the mysterious past - aka - Carlos Alvarez (the fake name) anagrams out to all sorts of CZAR things. (Just like Nostradamus, the fake name create the anagrams that portray him as a possible Russian agent.)
What else might Mr. Randi have planted in the minds of Americans?
Disclaimer: This is just for fun and for information purposes only, just to show how someone can twist logic and reason to accomplish anything. In the vein of how Glenn Beck raped and murdered that girl -- or how just like interpreting Nostradamus you can make it say what you want it to say. I apologize to Mr. Randi for any discomfort which this purely informational exercise may have caused. I'm just having a good time, and surely hope he appreciates a skeptic's perspective.
I just deal with the facts and reasonable conclusions from those.
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